Researchers Propose Water-Energy-Food Nexus Framework for Sustainable Agriculture in Water-stressed Regions

A comprehensive systems analysis highlights the unsustainable trajectory of Pakistan’s agricultural sector, showing that current input-intensive practices cannot meet future food security needs without increasing ecological stress. The study, published in Agricultural Systems, presents the first quantitative framework for transitioning to sustainable agriculture through integrated Water-Energy-Food (WEF) Nexus management, offering broad relevance for semi-arid regions worldwide.

Led by Prof. CHEN Yaning from the Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, the study focuses on a central challenge for Pakistan and other water-stressed countries: increasing agricultural productivity at a time when essential natural resources are steadily diminishing.

Pakistan’s agriculture consumes nearly 90% of national freshwater resources, yet wheat yields remain half of the global average. To better understand these imbalances, the researchers analyzed three decades of agricultural, hydrological, and energy data (1991–2021) using advanced econometric modeling, and projected future trends through 2031.

Their findings show that achieving even a 15.1% productivity increase by 2031 would require pesticide use to grow by 82.25%, fertilizer application by 19%, and continued land expansion by 5.42%. Meanwhile, agricultural water availability is projected to fall by 4.22% and energy availability by 6.15%.

These results underscore the need to move beyond conventional input-intensive agriculture and toward a WEF Nexus perspective, where resource efficiency, renewable energy adoption, balanced agrochemical use, and institutional coordination are all integrated to achieve sustainable productivity gains.

“Traditional approaches that rely on expanding cultivated area or increasing chemical inputs are no longer viable,” said Hassan Iqbal, first author of the study. “WEF Nexus-based strategies provide a sustainable alternative by addressing resource interdependencies and operating within ecological limits.”

A major insight from the study is the identification of resource-efficiency thresholds. Short-term gains may be achieved through intensive inputs, but the long-term analysis shows a significant negative correlation between water withdrawal and productivity (r = 0.31) and a minimal correlation for energy use (r = 0.06). These findings highlight the urgency of precision irrigation, renewable-energy-based farm operations, and optimized input management.

The researchers propose several practical policy interventions, including drip irrigation systems that can reduce water use by 15–20%, solar-powered irrigation to ease energy constraints, integrated pest management to lower chemical dependency by up to 40%, and institutional reforms to improve cross-sectoral coordination.

“As semi-arid agricultural systems face increasing resource pressures and climate variability, integrated solutions that optimize existing resources become essential,” said Prof. CHEN Yaning, corresponding author of the study.

The WEF Nexus framework developed in this research provides a replicable model for Pakistan and other water-scarce regions.

Read the full article: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2025.104572

Integrated Water-Energy-Food Nexus framework illustrating key enablers and resulting benefits for sustainable agriculture and food security. (Image by XIEG)

Contact

LONG Huaping

Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography

E-mail: longhp@ms.xjb.ac.cn

Web: http://english.egi.cas.cn